Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001961 0.002153 0.002345 0.002552 0.002766 0.002983 0.003218
2025-02-02 0.001675 0.001985 0.002306 0.002661 0.003040 0.003432 0.003866
2025-02-09 0.001479 0.001894 0.002338 0.002843 0.003395 0.003977 0.004633
2025-02-16 0.001269 0.001768 0.002321 0.002967 0.003689 0.004464 0.005348
2025-02-23 0.000983 0.001527 0.002156 0.002913 0.003781 0.004727 0.005824
2025-03-02 0.000753 0.001324 0.002015 0.002873 0.003879 0.004994 0.006303
2025-03-09 0.000573 0.001158 0.001903 0.002855 0.003994 0.005276 0.006798
2025-03-16 0.000433 0.001023 0.001814 0.002856 0.004124 0.005571 0.007306
2025-03-23 0.000349 0.000955 0.001802 0.002945 0.004356 0.005982 0.007944
2025-03-30 0.000263 0.000864 0.001752 0.002979 0.004518 0.006309 0.008485
2025-04-06 0.000194 0.000785 0.001709 0.003018 0.004683 0.006636 0.009025
2025-04-13 0.000139 0.000718 0.001675 0.003063 0.004851 0.006966 0.009566
2025-04-20 0.000084 0.000637 0.001625 0.003100 0.005029 0.007332 0.010181
2025-04-27 0.000042 0.000557 0.001572 0.003132 0.005207 0.007704 0.010814
2025-05-04 0.000022 0.000524 0.001590 0.003266 0.005516 0.008242 0.011650
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000475 0.001577 0.003354 0.005769 0.008714 0.012412
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000367 0.001445 0.003265 0.005789 0.008902 0.012839
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000282 0.001336 0.003201 0.005837 0.009121 0.013301
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000217 0.001251 0.003166 0.005920 0.009382 0.013813
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000167 0.001186 0.003155 0.006032 0.009677 0.014365
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000145 0.001183 0.003241 0.006274 0.010135 0.015113
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000115 0.001147 0.003271 0.006438 0.010493 0.015740
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000090 0.001117 0.003308 0.006610 0.010860 0.016377